Publication · Dissertation

Transforming PiotroskiÕs (binary) F-score into a real one

Timothy Kyle Nast

UpSpace Institutional Repository (University of Pretoria)Jan 1, 2017
Abstract

Since the 1960s, accounting researchers have attempted to assess the benefit of historical financial statements to capital market investors (Bunting & Barnard, 2015) by developing an indeterminate number of predictive signals designed to Òbeat the marketÓ. One such stock screen, the Piotroski F-score (Piotroski, 2000), attempted to reverse the trend of increasingly complicated predictive algorithms by applying a simple binary calculation method to nine signals extracted from widely accessible historical accounting data. While Piotroski found the F-score to be effective in separating winners from losers, subsequent studies delivered mixed results. This research sought to interrogate the relevance of the F-scoreÕs nine signals on the JSE and to assess a revised calculation methodology, based on a ranked scale of companies. The results of the research were also used to assess the ongoing relevance of accounting-based fundamental analysis in light of the challenges posed by behavioural finance research and technological advances. The results show that six of the F-scoreÕs nine signals were found to be relevant to the JSE and the ranked scale calculation approach was successful in separating winners from losers. Analysis of the F-scoreÕs predictive ability over time showed that accounting-based fundamental analysis remains relevant in the context of the JSE.

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